Macroeconomic announcements and stock returns in US portfolios formed on operating profitability and investment

Dividend Resumptions, Future Profitability and Stock Returns

We present a new approach to examining the dividend signalling hypothesis by investigating dividend resumptions by former payers. Evidence regarding the signalling hypothesis has been mixed to date. In support of previous work, we find that dividend policy is sticky, whereby the achievement of profitability does not necessarily lead to the resumption of dividend payment. We find no evidence of ...

Investment Plans and Stock Returns

When the discount rate falls, investment should rise. Thus with time-varying discount rates and instantly changing investment, investment should positively covary with current stock returns and negatively covary with future stock returns. Aggregate nonresidential U.S. investment contradicts both these implications, probably because of investment lags. Investment plans, however, satisfy both imp...

The Capital Investment Increases and Stock Returns

This paper applies free cash flow and information asymmetry hypotheses to investigate whether managers pursuit their private benefits by using capital investment expenditure (hereafter CI) increases or not, and to explore whether managers decrease CI as more dividend payments under information asymmetry hypothesis. Consequently, the present study investigates the effect of CI increases on abnor...

US Stock Prices and Macroeconomic Fundamentals

Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market: US Review

This focus of this paper are the effect, implication, impact and realtionship between selected macroeconomic variables and wider US indices S&P 500 and industrial Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). I Consider inflation, interest rates, money supply, producer price index, industrial production index, oil price and unemployment and their impact on selected stock indices in the USA between 1999 ...